For the next week or so we will examine players from every position who are returning after lengthy, if not season ending, injuries. We will examine players from both leagues, their current ADP, possible alternatives, and finally giving a green light to draft them at their current value. Today we will start with two first basemen.
AL Justin Morneau: ADP (46) the 9th 1B off the board. Morneau was off to an MVP season last year before the concussion in early July. His stats projected out to be 35HR 110RBI 105R .340BA if he stayed healthy. We are now 7 months away from the concussion and the word is that he is still recovering. It's worrisome that Morneau didn't attend the team's recent winter fan festival in Minnesota, instead staying in Arizona, and still hasn't started baseball activities. Morneau's target date for a full return is April 1, the day the Twins open the regular season at Toronto. Remember the Twins played very well in his absence last year and even if he is 100% by opening day look for the twins to be cautious with him, possibly missing the first road trip, not playing in the cold weather, or waiting longer if the Twins start strong without him. Picks to consider in his place are Dunn (50), Konerko (71), and Butler (86). Morneau would be a must pick in round 6 or later, just be extremely cautious with a 4th rounder or earlier.