Monday, February 7, 2011

Worthy Of Drafting After Returning From Injury

For the next week or so we will examine players from every position who are returning after lengthy, if not season ending, injuries. We will examine players from both leagues, their current ADP, possible alternatives, and finally giving a green light to draft them.  Today we review two very under performing left fielders.
NL Jason Bay: ADP (155) the 40th OF off the board. If you remember, Bay crashed at full speed into a padded wall at Dodger Stadium while catching a fly ball. After the catch he fell to the ground, injured. Bay then told his trainer that he hadn’t hit his head, but that his back and knee were hurt. So the team didn’t make Bay get a full neurological exam, and he played in two more games. On the fight back to New York, Bay got a nagging headache. It turns out he had sustained a concussion when he hit the wall. As of today Bay states that the previous concussion is a non issue. That may be the case but how do we explain last year’s stats: HR6 RBI47 R48 OBP.347 AVG.259? Is it a sign of things to come or just a lost season? Before heading to Citi Field as a Met, Bay was a Silver Slugger winner in Boston. His 2009 line was as follows: HR36 RBI119 R103 OBP.384 AVG.267. I do not think Bay is as good as 2009 but not as bad as 2010. So is he worth a 12-14th round pick? Let’s see who is available in the draft around him. There is Stubbs and Ludwick in front of him and Kubel and Manny behind him. None will hit for average but do have 20+ HR power and a few can get you double digit steals. Of those 4 listed only Bay will get consistent ABs in the cleanup spot, that’s an RBI plus. At this time I feel Bay will outperform his current ADP.

AL Alex Gordon: ADP (N/A) currently he is not being drafted in mock drafts. Last year Gordon was injured on a headfirst slide as he was thrown out attempting to steal second base last year. It ended up being a broken right thumb. The year before, he missed 10 weeks with a leg/hip  injury. Gordon has missed horribly on the expectations of him being an MLB superstar after he was drafted second overall in 2005 following a standout career at the University of Nebraska. As far as the injuries Gordon has also been sent down to learn new positions and work on his hitting. Gordon is slated to be the opening day LF for the Royals and has little to no completion. Could this be his breakout year? What I do like about Gordon is his position versatility in H2H leagues. He will have both OF and 3B eligibility. You may not want to use a draft choice on him but keep him on your radar throughout April and scoop him up if he produces like he was drafted to do back in 2005.

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