Sunday, April 21, 2013

Most Added Analysis

Here is a compiled look at the most added players this week in fantasy baseball and my analysis on each.
% Change
Crawford, Brandon SS SF
Quintana, Jose SP CHW
Bailey, Andrew RP BOS
Corbin, Patrick SP ARI
Cingrani, Tony RP CIN
Villanueva, Carlos RP CHC
Johnson, Chris 3B ATL
Mujica, Edward RP STL
Detwiler, Ross SP WAS
Davis, Wade RP KC
Betancourt, Y. 2B MIL
Cabrera, Everth SS SD
Gattis, Evan OF ATL
Schierholtz, Nate RF CHC

Brandon Crawford: Crawford has been one of the five best shortstops in all of Fantasy through the first three weeks of the season, thanks to a .328 batting average, three home runs and 12 runs scored. Are there any signs that point to him sustaining this success? Crawford has shown an improved eye at the plate, walking in 9.1 percent of his plate appearances and striking out in 16.7 percent. Both of which are better than his career norms and have helped him to a .328 batting average and .409 on-base percentage. After entering the season with just seven home runs in 631 at bats at the major-league level, he already has three in 58 at bats. Usually, an increase in home runs can be explained by a batter making a more concerted effort to put the ball in the air, but that has not been the case thus far for Crawford. He has hit a career-low 27.7 percent of his batted balls in the air, a sure sign that this power spike is not sustainable.
Jose Quintana: White Sox pitcher Jose Quintana is off to a strong start after a promising rookie season. Through three starts, Quintana has a 2.55 ERA and a 2.75 FIP. He's also managed to strikeout out nearly a batter per inning, with 17 in 17 2/3 innings. White Sox pitching Coach Don Cooper has had success turning around a number of pitchers in recent seasons, making Quintana's early success a little more intriguing for Fantasy owners.
Andrew Bailey: Bailey is 3 for 4 in save situations but has closed out three straight for Boston with Joel Hanrahan on the DL. Bailey has 13 Ks in his first 8 1/3 innings.
Patrick Corbin: Diamondbacks starting pitcher Patrick Corbin should be worth picking up and sticking in your lineup for Fantasy Week 4 (April 22-28 with a pair of starts on the way. He will take on the Giants Tuesday and the Rockies Sunday. Corbin had an up-and-down rookie season, but he has been one of the best pitchers in baseball through the early part of this season. Through three starts, Corbin is 2-0, with a 1.42 ERA. Corbin is the fourth-most added player in Fantasy leagues but is still available in 42 percent of leagues as of Saturday.
Tony Cingrani: On Thursday against the Marlins, recording eight strikeouts while allowing just one earned run is an impressive major-league debut. His Chris Sale-like delivery most likely allows him to hide the ball enough to make up for his lack of secondary stuff. I'm buying him, at least while he's in the big leagues, which should last through his two start next week, if not longer.
Carlos Villanueva: So that's three awesome starts now for the Cubs pitcher including one against the heavy-hitting Rangers and one against the heavier-hitting Braves. Call me crazy, but I'm ready to add him in my leagues. I'm not completely sold on him, but I think the chance of him being legitimate is high enough that I wouldn't want this window to add him to close on me. Keep in mind he had a 3.03 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and 9.0 strikeouts per nine innings in his first 11 starts with the Blue Jays last year before tiring down the stretch.
Chris Johnson: Though he has been hot, Freddie Freeman is set to return from an oblique injury Monday. His absence is the reason Johnson has been playing every day. He'll have to go back to splitting at-bats with third baseman Juan Francisco, who has been pretty hot himself, with Freeman back. Granted, the Braves will have the DH spot available for their series at Detroit April 26-28, which might buy Johnson another week of mixed-league feasibility, but otherwise, you can leave him for NL-only formats.
Edward Mujica: He is the Closer of the week in St. Louis, grab on if you need Saves.
Ross Detwiler: Though I own Detwiler in a couple of leagues and have been pleased with the output I know the train wreck is coming. His peripherals scream problem. A .250 batting average for balls in play and an unsustainable strand rate of 93%. Look for a regression coming sooner than later.
Wade Davis: Davis has retained his strong strikeout rate from last season. Much of that can be attributed to hit cut-fastball. Davis added the pitch last season, and it immediately became one of his out pitches. I’m not high on Davis but you could do worse if you are in need of SP.
Yuniesky Betancourt: With 2HR and 9 RBI Betancourt is the classic undrafted player who got hot for a week and then grabbed by all struggling teams. Betancourt does have some advantages like his multi-positional ability, his everyday ABs, and even his manager says winter ball in Mexico helped him become more of an offensive player.
Everth Cabrera: Just a nice MI that many held off on during drafts to see if he could produce. He missed becoming the 1st Padre to every hit for the cycle this week by a double. He is a solid add at MI and has 40 SB potential.
Evan Gattis: OK, before last week who knew of him and who drafted him? I didn’t. Still do not know if he is a flash in the pan or soon to be Cult hero. With C eligibility and getting playing time I say ride his wave and Atlanta’s wave.
Nate Schierholtz: His K rate is at an all time low and his Average is at an all time high. Smoke and mirrors my friend. The regression is coming.

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