One tool that I use
every year if I am on the fence between players during my drafts is the Age 27
Factor. Not sure it’s a conventional “factor” but that is what I refer to it as
every year. It is widely known that athletes tend to peak just before, during
and just after their 27th birthdays. So drafting a player who is 27
years old during the season tends to push their performance higher and thus out
performing their draft position. Last year all these players outperformed their
draft position significantly while being at that magical age 27; David Price,
Matt Cain, Gio Gonzalez, Adam Jones and Max Scherzer. I’m not saying it is a
lock for 27 year olds to have monster seasons, I’m saying it is just another
tool for your tool box come draft day if
you find yourself debating between a couple of players. Anyway here is this year’s
list of players who will start the season at 27 or who will turn 27 this summer
and their ranks.
CATCHERS
|
||
Rank
|
Player
|
Team
|
1
|
Matt Wieters
|
Baltimore Orioles
|
2
|
Carlos Santana
|
Cleveland Indians
|
3
|
J. Saltalamacchia
|
Boston Red Sox
|
4
|
J.P. Arencibia
|
Toronto Blue Jays
|
5
|
Jonathan Lucroy
|
Brewers
|
6
|
Tyler Flowers
|
Chicago White Sox
|
7
|
Lou Marson
|
Cleveland Indians
|
8
|
Steve Clevenger
|
Chicago Cubs
|
9
|
M. Maldonado
|
Brewers
|
10
|
Tony Cruz
|
St. Louis Cardinals
|
1B
|
||
Rank
|
Player
|
Team
|
1
|
Billy Butler
|
Kansas City Royals
|
2
|
Chris Davis
|
Baltimore Orioles
|
3
|
Tyler Colvin
|
Colorado Rockies
|
4
|
Mitch Moreland
|
Texas Rangers
|
5
|
Brett Wallace
|
Houston Astros
|
6
|
Mike Carp
|
Boston Red Sox
|
7
|
Kyle Blanks
|
San Diego Padres
|
8
|
Daric Barton
|
Oakland Athletics
|
2B
|
||
Rank
|
Player
|
Team
|
1
|
Neil Walker
|
Pittsburgh Pirates
|
2
|
Emilio Bonifacio
|
Toronto Blue Jays
|
3
|
Gordon Beckham
|
Chicago White Sox
|
4
|
Matt Carpenter
|
St. Louis Cardinals
|
5
|
Darwin Barney
|
Chicago Cubs
|
6
|
Ryan Flaherty
|
Baltimore Orioles
|
3B
|
||
Rank
|
Player
|
Team
|
1
|
Evan Longoria
|
Tampa Bay Rays
|
2
|
Pablo Sandoval
|
Giants
|
3
|
Todd Frazier
|
Cincinnati Reds
|
4
|
Trevor Plouffe
|
Minnesota Twins
|
5
|
Josh Donaldson
|
Oakland Athletics
|
6
|
Chris Nelson
|
Colorado Rockies
|
7
|
Ian Stewart
|
Chicago Cubs
|
8
|
Sean Rodriguez
|
Tampa Bay Rays
|
9
|
Jordan Pacheco
|
Colorado Rockies
|
10
|
Pedro Ciriaco
|
Boston Red Sox
|
SS
|
||
Rank
|
Player
|
Team
|
1
|
Ian Desmond
|
Washington Nats
|
2
|
Asdrubal Cabrera
|
Cleveland Indians
|
3
|
Zack Cozart
|
Cincinnati Reds
|
4
|
Eric Sogard
|
Oakland Athletics
|
5
|
Reid Brignac
|
Tampa Bay Rays
|
OF
|
||
Rank
|
Player
|
Team
|
1
|
Carlos Gonzalez
|
Colorado Rockies
|
2
|
Adam Jones
|
Baltimore Orioles
|
3
|
Yoenis Cespedes
|
Oakland Athletics
|
4
|
Mark Trumbo
|
Angels
|
5
|
Carlos Gomez
|
Brewers
|
6
|
Lorenzo Cain
|
Kansas City Royals
|
7
|
Dexter Fowler
|
Colorado Rockies
|
8
|
Colby Rasmus
|
Toronto Blue Jays
|
9
|
Andy Dirks
|
Detroit Tigers
|
10
|
Darin Mastroianni
|
Minnesota Twins
|
11
|
Lucas Duda
|
New York Mets
|
12
|
Delmon Young
|
Phillies
|
13
|
Brennan Boesch
|
Detroit Tigers
|
14
|
Darin Ruf
|
Phillies
|
15
|
Chris Coghlan
|
Miami Marlins
|
16
|
Eric Young
|
Colorado Rockies
|
17
|
Michael Taylor
|
Oakland Athletics
|
18
|
Collin Cowgill
|
New York Mets
|
19
|
Alex Presley
|
Pittsburgh Pirates
|
20
|
Tony Campana
|
Arizona D-backs
|
21
|
Jordan Schafer
|
Atlanta Braves
|
22
|
Charlie Blackmon
|
Colorado Rockies
|
23
|
Bryan Petersen
|
Miami Marlins
|
SP
|
||
Rank
|
Player
|
Team
|
1
|
David Price
|
Tampa Bay Rays
|
2
|
Felix Hernandez
|
Seattle Mariners
|
3
|
Yu Darvish
|
Texas Rangers
|
4
|
Gio Gonzalez
|
Washington Nats
|
5
|
Johnny Cueto
|
Cincinnati Reds
|
6
|
Kris Medlen
|
Atlanta Braves
|
7
|
Yovani Gallardo
|
Brewers
|
8
|
J. Zimmermann
|
Washington Nats
|
9
|
Matt Harrison
|
Texas Rangers
|
10
|
Phil Hughes
|
New York Yankees
|
11
|
Tommy Hanson
|
Angels
|
12
|
Homer Bailey
|
Cincinnati Reds
|
13
|
Wade Davis
|
Kansas City Royals
|
14
|
Jaime Garcia
|
St. Louis Cardinals
|
15
|
Wei-Yin Chen
|
Baltimore Orioles
|
16
|
Ross Detwiler
|
Washington Nats
|
17
|
Michael Fiers
|
Brewers
|
18
|
Brandon Beachy
|
Atlanta Braves
|
19
|
Andrew Cashner
|
San Diego Padres
|
20
|
Scott Diamond
|
Minnesota Twins
|
21
|
Lucas Harrell
|
Houston Astros
|
22
|
John Danks
|
Chicago White Sox
|
23
|
Dillon Gee
|
New York Mets
|
24
|
Franklin Morales
|
Boston Red Sox
|
25
|
Mark Rogers
|
Brewers
|
26
|
Juan Nicasio
|
Colorado Rockies
|
27
|
Corey Kluber
|
Cleveland Indians
|
28
|
Jake Arrieta
|
Baltimore Orioles
|
RP
|
||
Rank
|
Player
|
Team
|
1
|
Greg Holland
|
Kansas City Royals
|
2
|
Chris Perez
|
Cleveland Indians
|
3
|
Ernesto Fieri
|
Angels
|
4
|
Steve Cishek
|
Miami Marlins
|
5
|
David Robertson
|
New York Yankees
|
6
|
Al Alburquerque
|
Detroit Tigers
|
7
|
Jake McGee
|
Tampa Bay Rays
|
8
|
David Hernandez
|
Arizona D-backs
|
9
|
Brad Lincoln
|
Toronto Blue Jays
|
10
|
Daniel Bard
|
Boston Red Sox
|
11
|
Jared Hughes
|
Pittsburgh Pirates
|
12
|
Ryan Webb
|
Miami Marlins
|
13
|
Charlie Furbush
|
Seattle Mariners
|
14
|
Michael Dunn
|
Miami Marlins
|
15
|
Junichi Tazawa
|
Boston Red Sox
|
16
|
Daniel Schlereth
|
Baltimore Orioles
|
17
|
Tommy Hunter
|
Baltimore Orioles
|
18
|
Pedro Strop
|
Baltimore Orioles
|
19
|
Brad Bergesen
|
Arizona D-backs
|
20
|
Troy Patton
|
Baltimore Orioles
|
21
|
Andrew Miller
|
Boston Red Sox
|
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