Wednesday, April 3, 2013

Big Dog Gets Rated



Big Dog contacted me and wanted his draft reviewed (good or bad). This is a 12 team 5X5 Roto League with 1C, 4OF, CI, MI 9P and 5 Bench. This league also has unlimited innings pitched and weekly line-ups. This current league consists mostly of the same managers for the last decade.

 

1.
(5)
Andrew McCutchen(Pit - OF)
2.
(20)
Buster Posey(SF - C,1B)
3.
(29)
Jason Heyward(Atl - OF)
4.
(44)
Starlin Castro(ChC - SS)
5.
(53)
Jason Kipnis(Cle - 2B)
6.
(68)
Joe Mauer(Min - C,1B)
7.
(77)
Michael Bourn(Cle - OF)
8.
(92)
James Shields(KC - SP)
9.
(101)
Brandon Morrow(Tor - SP)
10.
(116)
Josh Johnson(Tor - SP)
11.
(125)
Jim Johnson(Bal - RP)
12.
(140)
Nick Swisher(Cle - 1B,OF)
13.
(149)
Ryan Vogelsong(SF - SP)
14.
(164)
Huston Street(SD - RP)
15.
(173)
Kendrys Morales(Sea - 1B)
16.
(188)
Brandon League(LAD - RP)
17.
(197)
Matt Garza(ChC - SP)
18.
(212)
19.
(221)
Pedro Alvarez(Pit - 3B)
20.
(236)
Ryan Madson(LAA - RP)
21.
(245)
Wandy Rodriguez(Pit - SP)
22.
(260)
Omar Infante(Det - 2B)
23.
(269)
Starling Marte(Pit - OF)
24.
(284)
Brandon Beachy(Atl - SP)
25.
(293)
Mark Buehrle(Tor - SP)
26.
(308)
Michael Saunders(Sea - OF)
27.
(317)
Denard Span(Was - OF)

 

Runs: Average: Only 1 leadoff hitter in Bourne but many 3 hole hitters. With players from low scoring teams like the Cubs, Twins, and Indians runs could be tough to produce.

Average: Above Average: With 4 of his top 7 picks sporting a .300 BA this could be an asset to his team. Kipnis was a trendy pick this year but his 2nd half of 2012 was dismal with 3HR 27 RBI and a .233 BA. Hard to figure what player will show up or will the sophomore slump ascend. Alvarez and his career .237 average is a drain.

Stolen Bases: Elite: 4 players will get 20+ and Bourne will clear 40.

Home Runs: Below Average: Much will depend on Morales and Alvarez getting to 30 each. The rest are mostly high teen/low 20s HR hitters.

RBI: Below Average: It will really take all your players to get 10 more RBI than their career highs to move into the upper level in this league.  Even though you have many 3 hole hitters it will take Heyward to hit in a power spot and not 2nd in the line up to help you with RBI. The same goes for Castro. If he hits 2nd RBI opportunities drop off.

Wins: The most volatile stat to predict. With Garza and Beachy hurt to start the year you should pick up some 2 start pitchers starting ASAP to just keep pace. You have selected 3/5th of the Toronto rotation and I have Toronto in the World Series this year but they pitch in the tough AL East.

Saves: Above Average: You did what you have to do in 12 team leagues…get at least 3 Closers.

ERA: Below Average: With so many of your SP in the AL East look for some inflated ERAs from your staff.

WHIP: Average: ERA and WHIP usually go hand in hand though you have some of the better RPs and Buehrle has an outstanding WHIP at the Rogers Center. You may be the exception to the rule with WHIP this year.

Ks: Elite: If Garza comes back sooner than later you have 3 legit 200K SP with 2 others at 180. Remember this is an unlimited innings pitched  league so streaming 2 start pitchers will be necessary to keep the elite status.

My conclusion is you finish the season

Runs 7

Average 9

Stolen Bases 11

Home Runs 2

RBI 4

Wins 7

Saves 9

ERA 5

WHIP 8

Ks 10

Total 72 Points and a 6th Place Finish

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