Target & Avoid New York Mets

 

Target Matt Harvey

Not sure why people are not on The Harvey train. Looking at both his Minor League and MLB numbers this guy has every indicator of being a top tier SP in the near future. In 10 starts last year he put up 10.6 K/9 and a 2.73 ERA with a 1.15 WHIP. His career Minor League numbers are as spectacular. The big young right hander put up a 3.68 ERA coming up through the Mets organization on the fast track. Why the fast track? Because he throws over 95 mph. Now I know the Mets are a bad team and Wins will be hard to come by, but wins are always the most elusive stat in Roto so don’t count on more than 8 this year. What he will do is pad your other 3 counting stats. His ERA and WHIP will be well below league average and his Ks are what you want, so look for over a K an inning pushing you close to 170 range this year. He also gets the Marlins in 3-4 starts this year…bonus! Currently the 53^rd SP off the board with an ADP of 213 which has been rising over the last 3 weeks, he should be closer to 40-45 SP with an ADP of 180. Get this guy in the 14-15^th rounds if available.  

 

Avoid Johan Santana

The stock on Santana is dropping as we speak and it already may be clear to steer clear of the former Cy Young Winner. The reason is his old, over used, constantly hurt left arm. Santana may be the last #1 SP off the board and for good reason. He hasn’t put up 30 starts in 4 years and his ERA has ballooned last year to near 5.00 and that is with the No Hitter. Now we hear out of Mets camp that 1^st spring start has been pushed back 2 weeks, not a good sign. I expect him to not be ready come opening day and if that happens we will not see him until the weather gets above 65 degrees around May 1^st.